Free Horse Racing Tip – Page 52

Free Tip – Stepping Up In Trip

Today’s free tip is below.

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Here’s today’s selection

2:55 Sandown – Beauport

If there’s one we’re both keen on today, then it’s Beauport.

We’ve been waiting for him to step up to three miles, as he just looks a galloper rather than one with gears, as he ably demonstrated when winning the EBF Final here last year, one where he simply outstayed his opponents. It’s probably not been helping his cause that he’s been held up well off the pace in his races this year, giving Dashel Drasher around an eight-length start at Newbury before being beaten just half a length at the finish. We’re of the opinion that it’s the trip, rather than the ground, which is going to be key here, and in truth we’ll be disappointed if he can’t go close.

Green Book was our pick for the Lanzarote, but an early unseat saw us do our money. At least the pain was over quickly. He’s still of some interest, but this trip might stretch him, particularly as stamina might be at a premium. Orby’s Legend, winner of the Silver Trophy earlier in the year, form that’s worked out well, and Empressive Lady, if she got in, would be others worthy of consideration.

We’re playing Beauport this morning, 7 seven places with Skybet, but the 6/1 six places with many of the firms is also acceptable.

Free Tip – The wet stuff is a blessing.

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Here’s today’s selection

2:25 Chepstow – Burrows Park

Half an inch of rain this morning at Chepstow has changed the going markedly, although that ought not to be a problem for the trio we’ve picked out – indeed it moves one up from mention to bet, and hopefully the wet stuff is a blessing.

It’s not usually good advice to side with a ten-year-old in a novice chase, especially after an absence, but rules are made to be broken, and I cannot resist having a swing at BURROWS PARK in the Cazoo Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase, particularly as he follows a pattern which is proving very profitable at present. Burrows Park represents two very strong punting angles for followers of Venetia Williams, those being horses returning from a significant absence (5+ months) and horses having had wind surgery.

Backing all Venetia’s runners after 150 days or more off the track produces winners at a steady rate of around 18%, and those backing them for a tenner at SP are £1,929.00 up over the years, and backing those runners returning from a breathing operation in the same way has made punters a healthy £773.70 in the few years since such things had to be declared.

Not only has Burrows Park had wind surgery since last being seen, but you can throw in a 327-day absence into the mix. He’s also 7lb below his last winning mark over hurdles. In an ideal world, there would be a bit more ease underfoot, but it seems rude to desert such a good system after the likes of Cloudy Glen (33/1), Commodore (7/1) and Quick Wave (10/1) had proved its worth in recent months from just a handful of runners meeting both criteria.

Free Tip – Petticoat Lucy

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Here’s today’s selection

2:40 Wincanton – Petticoat Lucy

Free Tip – Main Target

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Here’s today’s selection

7:30 Kempton – Main Target

Free Tip – More to come from Gambie Tiep

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Here’s today’s selection

1:00 Hereford – Gambie Tiep

The Royal Equestrian Bedding Novices’ Handicap Hurdle looks competitive, but I fancy that there is a great deal more to come from GAMBIE TIEP, who ran as if just in need of the run on debut for Robert Walford at Wincanton, and whose French form suggests he will improve for the switch to faster turf here.

Trained by Sindy Marsch in France, he won a good ground bumper, and his only moderate run came on the softest ground he encountered. It was heavy at Wincanton, and he travelled best before getting tired late, impressing with his jumping in particular.

He looks to have Kerry Lee’s Black Poppy to beat, but while that one seems to have a sound chance on form after making the frame on all his completed starts over hurdles, he’s not progressing, and the selection is taken to improve past him.

Maninsane would have been placed but for falling at the last at Doncaster, and has claims on that, but he’s now come down twice without making much of a mistake, and probably wants to get his landing gear checked.

Free Tip – Western Victory

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Here’s today’s selection

2:10 Doncaster – Western Victory

Free Tip – On the Wings Of A Dove

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Here’s today’s selection

2:45 Lingfield – Wings Of A Dove

Free Tip – Eklat De Rire

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Here’s today’s selection

3:05 Gowran Park – Eklat De Rire

Free Tip – Excellent chance for the outsider of five

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Here’s today’s selection

2:50 Wincanton – Flagrant Delitiep

A case can be made for (what was) the outsider of the five, FLAGRANT DELITIEP here. He’s not been in the same form as last year this time around, and he cut out a bit quickly for comfort at Chepstow last time to be confident about him, but he reappears quickly enough after that disappointing effort to think that whatever was ailing him, it was hopefully a one-off.

We are of the opinion he’s a better horse going right-handed and today’s test should suit him, so from a 6lb lower mark than when narrowly beaten over C&D last February, he has an excellent chance if bouncing back to anywhere near his best form.

Free Tip – Making Hay

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Here’s today’s selection

4:30 Southwell – Van Dijk

Numerically speaking, this is around the time when Antony Brittain makes hay each year and after a couple of winners at the weekend, he might be a yard worth keeping an eye on over the next few weeks.(Indeed, three places at big prices yesterday only underlines this.)

VAN DIJK is his representative here. To say he’s got a mind of his own is an understatement, as a refusal to race at Wolverhampton back in November shows, but he came back from that run to show some unusual early pace (tends to come from off the back) here last Friday, travelling sweetly enough on the front until his fitness told.

Ideally you’d like this to be run at a good pace and there are no guarantees of that, but maybe they’ll go to the front again with him.

It’s all about what mood he’s in, but offer me a daft price and I’d be willing to chance him. If it’s not today, then his turn might not be far away.