Today’s free tip is below.
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Here’s today’s selection
3:15 York – Apollo One
Today’s free tip is below.
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Here’s today’s selection
2:40 York – Isla Kai
ISLA KAI has been below form of late, but an extended 1¼m was much too far for him last time, and he’s now 6lb lower than when a solid fourth over C&D in July.
His stable is also hitting form after a quiet spell, and this front runner is capable of bouncing back to form at an attractive price, particularly as two of his four wins have come on soft ground and he’s not been getting his toe in this season.
Nigel Tinkler has his team in good order for the time of year, and was a neck away from landing a 230/1 double with older handicappers at Pontefract on Monday.
The selection will attempt to dominate from stall 9, and while he’s not been getting home using the same tactics on faster ground, he won’t have to work so hard on this softer ground to dominate, and that should enable him to keep a bit for the finish.
Today’s free tip is below.
First a quick plug for the Racing Consultants tipping service.
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Here’s today’s selection
1:15 Ayr – Dundory
Today’s free tip is below.
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Here’s today’s selection
5:30 Nottingham – Tartan Chief
Today’s free tip is below.
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Here’s today’s selection
5:40 Brighton – The King’s Steed
Regular readers will know that I like to find unusual but explainable draw biases, and one of my favourites is the mile at Brighton. It’s only over this trip that high draws enjoy an advantage, and it’s due to the unusual shape of the track at the mile start, which requires the runners to first move to the right along the outside rail before sweeping left into the straight. There are two aspects of this that are worth noting, with the poor record of low-drawn horses easily explained by the extra ground they must cover, while in order to take advantage of the shorter route, horses need to be prominent otherwise the advantage is easily negated by poor track position. Of those who do manage to overcome a low draw, most are hold-up horses who are less compromised by the need to take an early position.
On the contrary, it’s a big advantage for those drawn middle to high to lead, and since 2006, the record of horses leading outright from such draws is excellent. In double-figure fields, 20 have won from 91 qualifiers, and backing all of them blind would have produced a remarkable profit of £1,090 to a £10 stake.
There are two mile contests at Brighton on Tuesday, but the first is a nine-runner maiden, and the bias is reduced by both field size and spread of ability, so the race to concentrate on is the Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 535 Handicap, in which outsider The King’s Steed is well-berthed in stall nine to make all. Shaun Lycett’s gelding is returning from almost a year off the track, and will be ignored by most punters for that reason, but he’s the most likely of these on historic form to make the running, and he has a good strike-rate on soft ground at 7f/1m, with form figures under similar conditions over the past five years of 141011.
The King’s Steed won off marks of 48 and 51 last May, with the first of those wins, on soft ground at Nottingham, coming by 8½ lengths having made all the running. He has not raced on easy ground since following up at Hamilton, and has fallen back to the former mark again, which looks generous given how dominant he was at Nottingham. The question is his absence, but this looks too good an opportunity to have him half-baked. Hector Loza and Danny Bleu can lead, but that pair are drawn badly in the inside stalls for such a tactic, and the selection could get loose on the lead with the other possible pace angle being the doubtful stayer Queen Sarabi.
Today’s free tip is below.
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Here’s today’s selection
3:40 Pontefract – King Carney
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Here’s today’s selection
3:36 Ascot – Rhoscolyn
He’s run well in two competitive handicaps recently, coming back to form on a soft surface when third to I’m A Gambler at Goodwood and then a close fifth to the same rival in the Sovereign Path Handicap at Leopardstown last time. That run can be marked up as he was badly hampered early on in the contest just after he’d got track position.
Placed over this C&D at Royal Ascot earlier in the year, he looks a good each-way bet today.
Today’s free tip is below.
First a quick plug for the Racing Consultants tipping service.
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Here’s today’s selection
2:00 Ascot – Dance Fever
Today’s free tip is below.
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Here’s today’s selection
3:55 Nottingham – Cherry Cola
Some ultra-competitive racing at Nottingham as the “Grassroots” series reaches its climax. Most of the races look a bit too competitive for our tastes, but the stayers final has a nice shape to it, and we can row in again with CHERRY COLA, who almost landed us a good-priced winner over hurdles when she ran at Plumpton a couple of weeks ago.
We pointed out on that occasion that she seems to have improved for a step up in trip on the Flat, and to that end, her form at Nottingham over 14f reads 152, all of it on ground good or better, which is what she will encounter today.
When she was second to Alpine Stroll here earlier in the year, beaten two lengths, she was giving that one a pound, yet finds herself in receipt of 15lb today, which ought to be more than enough to turn the tables.
Expect a patient ride from Rose Dawes, creeping into this from the home turn, and she ought to be in the frame at worst again.
Hopefully you were on Lady Lade yesterday which won at 7/1 paying 11.21 at BFSP.
Today’s free tip is below.
First a quick plug for the Racing Consultants tipping service.
If you would like daily selections at big prices from a multiple winner of the Racing Post Naps competition and a service that has profited consistently since 2014.
Then try Rory Delargy’s Racing Consultants service.
You can get a full month of the service for half price during which you are sure to have some big priced winners.
Here’s today’s selection
4:39 Ayr – Capital Theory