First a quick plug for the Racing Consultants tipping service.
If you would like daily selections at big prices from a multiple winner of the Racing Post Naps competition and a service that has profited consistently since 2014.
Then try Rory Delargy’s Racing Consultants service.
Chart Shows Results to £25 stakes from June 2014 to date
You can get a full month of the service for half price during which you are sure to have some big priced winners.
ISLA KAI has been below form of late, but an extended 1¼m was much too far for him last time, and he’s now 6lb lower than when a solid fourth over C&D in July.
His stable is also hitting form after a quiet spell, and this front runner is capable of bouncing back to form at an attractive price, particularly as two of his four wins have come on soft ground and he’s not been getting his toe in this season.
Nigel Tinkler has his team in good order for the time of year, and was a neck away from landing a 230/1 double with older handicappers at Pontefract on Monday.
The selection will attempt to dominate from stall 9, and while he’s not been getting home using the same tactics on faster ground, he won’t have to work so hard on this softer ground to dominate, and that should enable him to keep a bit for the finish.
First a quick plug for the Racing Consultants tipping service.
If you would like daily selections at big prices from a multiple winner of the Racing Post Naps competition and a service that has profited consistently since 2014.
Then try Rory Delargy’s Racing Consultants service.
Chart Shows Results to £25 stakes from June 2014 to date
You can get a full month of the service for half price during which you are sure to have some big priced winners.
First a quick plug for the Racing Consultants tipping service.
If you would like daily selections at big prices from a multiple winner of the Racing Post Naps competition and a service that has profited consistently since 2014.
Then try Rory Delargy’s Racing Consultants service.
Chart Shows Results to £25 stakes from June 2014 to date
You can get a full month of the service for half price during which you are sure to have some big priced winners.
First a quick plug for the Racing Consultants tipping service.
If you would like daily selections at big prices from a multiple winner of the Racing Post Naps competition and a service that has profited consistently since 2014.
Then try Rory Delargy’s Racing Consultants service.
Chart Shows Results to £25 stakes from June 2014 to date
You can get a full month of the service for half price during which you are sure to have some big priced winners.
Regular readers will know that I like to find unusual but explainable draw biases, and one of my favourites is the mile at Brighton. It’s only over this trip that high draws enjoy an advantage, and it’s due to the unusual shape of the track at the mile start, which requires the runners to first move to the right along the outside rail before sweeping left into the straight. There are two aspects of this that are worth noting, with the poor record of low-drawn horses easily explained by the extra ground they must cover, while in order to take advantage of the shorter route, horses need to be prominent otherwise the advantage is easily negated by poor track position. Of those who do manage to overcome a low draw, most are hold-up horses who are less compromised by the need to take an early position.
On the contrary, it’s a big advantage for those drawn middle to high to lead, and since 2006, the record of horses leading outright from such draws is excellent. In double-figure fields, 20 have won from 91 qualifiers, and backing all of them blind would have produced a remarkable profit of £1,090 to a £10 stake.
There are two mile contests at Brighton on Tuesday, but the first is a nine-runner maiden, and the bias is reduced by both field size and spread of ability, so the race to concentrate on is the Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 535 Handicap, in which outsider The King’s Steed is well-berthed in stall nine to make all. Shaun Lycett’s gelding is returning from almost a year off the track, and will be ignored by most punters for that reason, but he’s the most likely of these on historic form to make the running, and he has a good strike-rate on soft ground at 7f/1m, with form figures under similar conditions over the past five years of 141011.
The King’s Steed won off marks of 48 and 51 last May, with the first of those wins, on soft ground at Nottingham, coming by 8½ lengths having made all the running. He has not raced on easy ground since following up at Hamilton, and has fallen back to the former mark again, which looks generous given how dominant he was at Nottingham. The question is his absence, but this looks too good an opportunity to have him half-baked. Hector Loza and Danny Bleu can lead, but that pair are drawn badly in the inside stalls for such a tactic, and the selection could get loose on the lead with the other possible pace angle being the doubtful stayer Queen Sarabi.
First a quick plug for the Racing Consultants tipping service.
If you would like daily selections at big prices from a multiple winner of the Racing Post Naps competition and a service that has profited consistently since 2014.
Then try Rory Delargy’s Racing Consultants service.
Chart Shows Results to £25 stakes from June 2014 to date
You can get a full month of the service for half price during which you are sure to have some big priced winners.
First a quick plug for the Racing Consultants tipping service.
If you would like daily selections at big prices from a multiple winner of the Racing Post Naps competition and a service that has profited consistently since 2014.
Then try Rory Delargy’s Racing Consultants service.
Chart Shows Results to £25 stakes from June 2014 to date
You can get a full month of the service for half price during which you are sure to have some big priced winners.
He’s run well in two competitive handicaps recently, coming back to form on a soft surface when third to I’m A Gambler at Goodwood and then a close fifth to the same rival in the Sovereign Path Handicap at Leopardstown last time. That run can be marked up as he was badly hampered early on in the contest just after he’d got track position.
Placed over this C&D at Royal Ascot earlier in the year, he looks a good each-way bet today.
First a quick plug for the Racing Consultants tipping service.
If you would like daily selections at big prices from a multiple winner of the Racing Post Naps competition and a service that has profited consistently since 2014.
Then try Rory Delargy’s Racing Consultants service.
Chart Shows Results to £25 stakes from June 2014 to date
You can get a full month of the service for half price during which you are sure to have some big priced winners.
First a quick plug for the Racing Consultants tipping service.
If you would like daily selections at big prices from a multiple winner of the Racing Post Naps competition and a service that has profited consistently since 2014.
Then try Rory Delargy’s Racing Consultants service.
Chart Shows Results to £25 stakes from June 2014 to date
You can get a full month of the service for half price during which you are sure to have some big priced winners.
First a quick plug for the Racing Consultants tipping service.
If you would like daily selections at big prices from a multiple winner of the Racing Post Naps competition and a service that has profited consistently since 2014.
Then try Rory Delargy’s Racing Consultants service.
Chart Shows Results to £25 stakes from June 2014 to date
You can get a full month of the service for half price during which you are sure to have some big priced winners.
Tinto did us a favour when running a cracker in the Stewards Cup at Goodwood, throwing down a challenge at the furlong pole before not quite seeing it out for fifth. He has ground to make up on Summerghand on the York run but I suspect this has been the target for much of the season, and what really swings it for us is the booking of excellent (and in-form) claimer Mark Winn, who takes a valuable 7lb off his back, and we can see him getting on well with Tinto today.
First a quick plug for the Racing Consultants tipping service.
If you would like daily selections at big prices from a multiple winner of the Racing Post Naps competition and a service that has profited consistently since 2014.
Then try Rory Delargy’s Racing Consultants service.
Chart Shows Results to £25 stakes from June 2014 to date
You can get a full month of the service for half price during which you are sure to have some big priced winners.
Best bet on Tuesday comes at Redcar where the ground should ride good but no quicker, and that is excellent news for backers of COSMOS RAJ in the Join RacingTV Today Handicap. The selection caught the eye despite finishing last at Ripon last time on ground described by Timeform as good to firm, but his record on good through soft is excellent, and the easier surface gives him a big chance from the pick of the draw in this 1¼m handicap.
Cosmos Raj has a career record over 1m+ on ground described by Timeform as good, good to soft or soft which reads 12251221321. He is dropping in grade after shaping well for a long way at Ripon last time – looked a big threat with just over a furlong to go, and Jason Watson was very easy on him when his winning chance had gone – and looks to have a touch of class in this.
The selection was beaten by Western Stars at Pontefract in the summer, and that horse heads the market. On a strict reading of that form, he should confirm placings, but, Cosmos Raj did too much too soon on that occasion, allowing Western Stars to reel him in late, and I fancy him to turn the tables under a less aggressive ride.
