Free Tip – Confidence that Redzone is ready

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3:05 Southwell – Redzone

REDZONE is the one of most interest in the second division of the same contest. He ran out a ready winner when he raced here last December, and although he finds himself 6lb higher today, he hosed up off a mark of 69 at Newcastle on his next start and a mark of 71 is perfectly fair.

His all-weather record north of London is 12111, and he still appears to be going the right way.

Redzone has been off since finishing second off his current mark at Doncaster in July, and while that could be a worry, he’s won two of his three starts in handicaps when returning from ten weeks or more off the track, which adds to confidence that he’ll be ready for this.

The suspicion remains with him that he is a better animal on Tapeta than turf, so the fact that he’s able to race off his turf mark here is a bonus.

Free Tip – Beyond Equal

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8:00 Kempton – Beyond Equal

Free Tip – Taking a chance on a patchy record

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5:05 Yarmouth – Bonus

At Yarmouth, the ground will be much slower, with soft ground forecast this morning, so we’re happy to take a chance on one whose record is patchy, but BONUS will enjoy soft ground much better than most of his rivals, and Jim Boyle’s gelding is handicapped to win if putting his best foot forward. His record in 7f handicaps on softer than good reads: 21521, improving to 211 on soft or heavy; one or two of the three-year-olds who are untried in the mud may be capable of improving for it, but his record stands out, and it will be disappointing if he can’t figure in the finish.

Free Tip – Albaflora

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2:40 Ascot – Albaflora

Free Tip – Hortzadar

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4:00 Haydock – Hortzadar

Free Tip – Margub

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8:00 Chelmsford – Margub

Free Tip – Parisiac

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4:40 Nottingham – Parisiac

Free Tip – Romantic Time is taken to end a losing run.

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4:50 Leicester – Romantic Time

Romantic Time is taken to end a losing run. Bill Stone’s filly is very game but small and easily bullied, and as a result tends to drift back when squeezed between other runners, as she did most notably when crowded at Chelmsford in the spring. A fellow pundit and punter pointed out that all her best runs have come when she has been drawn on the wing, drawn in stall 1 for her biggest win in Group 3 company at Salisbury last year, having also gained her first win from stall 14 of 14 at Yarmouth, while a Sandown win came when drawn 6 of 6.

That’s a compelling theory, since I’ve noted her aversion to racing between other horses, and we get a chance to test the theory here as she is drawn for a solo in stall 1 here, with open space to her right. The slight query is the trip given she has a tendency to over-race and has looked a non-stayer over 7f in the past. She is definitely bred to stay, however, and was doing her best work late having been drawn between pacier rivals at Ascot last time.

Free Tip – The Gloaming

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5:15 Musselburgh – The Gloaming

Free Tip – Apollo One

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3:15 York – Apollo One